Profile likelihood in systems biology.

Clemens Kreutz, Andreas Raue, Daniel Kaschek, Jens Timmer

Physics Department, University of Freiburg, 79104 Freiburg, Germany. ckreutz@fdm.uni-freiburg.de

The FEBS journal 2013 Jun

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Inferring knowledge about biological processes by a mathematical description is a major characteristic of Systems Biology. To understand and predict system's behavior the available experimental information is translated into a mathematical model. Since the availability of experimental data is often limited and measurements contain noise, it is essential to appropriately translate experimental uncertainty to model parameters as well as to model predictions. This is especially important in Systems Biology because typically large and complex models are applied and therefore the limited experimental knowledge might yield weakly specified model components. Likelihood profiles have been recently suggested and applied in the Systems Biology for assessing parameter and prediction uncertainty. In this article, the profile likelihood concept is reviewed and the potential of the approach is demonstrated for a model of the erythropoietin (EPO) receptor. © 2013 FEBS.