Natasha K Martin, Klaus Jansen, Matthias An der Heiden, Christoph Boesecke, Anders Boyd, Knud Schewe, Axel Baumgarten, Thomas Lutz, Stefan Christensen, Alexander Thielen, Stefan Mauss, Jürgen K Rockstroh, Britt Skaathun, Patrick Ingiliz
The Journal of infectious diseases 2019 Oct 08Despite high hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment rates, HCV incidence among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected men who have sex with men (HIV-infected MSM) in Germany rose before HCV direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). We model what intervention can achieve the World Health Organization (WHO) elimination target of an 80% reduction in HCV incidence by 2030 among HIV-infected MSM in Berlin. An HCV transmission model among HIV-diagnosed MSM was calibrated to Berlin (rising HCV incidence and high rates of HCV testing and treatment). We modeled the HCV incidence among HIV-diagnosed MSM in Berlin until 2030 (relative to 2015 WHO baseline) under scenarios of DAA scale-up with or without behavior change (among HIV-diagnosed MSM and/or all MSM). Continuing current treatment rates will marginally reduce the HCV incidence among HIV-diagnosed MSM in Berlin by 2030. Scaling up DAA treatment rates, beginning in 2018, to 100% of newly diagnosed HCV infections within 3 months of diagnosis and 25% each year of previously diagnosed and untreated HCV infections could reduce the HCV incidence by 61% (95% confidence interval, 55.4%-66.7%) by 2030. The WHO target would likely be achieved by combining DAA scale-up with a 40% reduction in HCV transmission among HIV-diagnosed MSM and a 20% reduction among HIV-undiagnosed or HIV-uninfected MSM. HCV elimination among HIV-infected MSM in Berlin likely requires combining DAA scale-up with moderately effective behavioral interventions to reduce risk among all MSM. © The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
Natasha K Martin, Klaus Jansen, Matthias An der Heiden, Christoph Boesecke, Anders Boyd, Knud Schewe, Axel Baumgarten, Thomas Lutz, Stefan Christensen, Alexander Thielen, Stefan Mauss, Jürgen K Rockstroh, Britt Skaathun, Patrick Ingiliz. Eliminating Hepatitis C Virus Among Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Infected Men Who Have Sex With Men in Berlin: A Modeling Analysis. The Journal of infectious diseases. 2019 Oct 08;220(10):1635-1644
PMID: 31301142
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