A simplified estimate of the effective reproduction number R t using its relation with the doubling time and application to Italian COVID-19 data.

A simplified method to compute R t , the effective reproduction number, is presented. The method relates the value of R t to the estimation of the doubling time performed with a local exponential fit. The condition R t = 1 corresponds to a growth rate equal to zero or equivalently an infinite doubling time. Different assumptions on the probability distribution of the generation time are considered. A simple analytical solution is presented in case the generation time follows a gamma distribution. © The Author(s) 2021.

Citation

Gianluca Bonifazi, Luca Lista, Dario Menasce, Mauro Mezzetto, Daniele Pedrini, Roberto Spighi, Antonio Zoccoli. A simplified estimate of the effective reproduction number R t using its relation with the doubling time and application to Italian COVID-19 data. European physical journal plus. 2021;136(4):386

PMID: 33868891

search → result