Correlation Engine 2.0
Clear Search sequence regions

  • carbon (2)
  • factors (3)
  • gas (9)
  • investigates (1)
  • pakistan (3)
  • product (2)
  • Sizes of these terms reflect their relevance to your search.

    The natural gas (NG) forms the sizeable portion of the primary energy consumption in Pakistan. However, its depleting domestic reserves and increasing demand is challenging to balance the supply-demand in the country. This paper investigates the relationship between NG consumption and driving factors using LMDI-STIRPAT PLSR framework. It is learned that fossil energy structure and per capita gross domestic product (GDP) are most influencing factors on NG consumption, followed by non-clean energy structure, energy intensity, and population. The factors were further modelled to forecast the future values of NG consumption for various scenarios. It is found that NG consumption would be 42.107 MTOE under the high development scenario which would be twice the baseline scenario. It is projected that indigenous NG production will fall from 4 to 2 billion cubic feet/day and demand will increase by 1.5 billion cubic feet/day. Therefore, an optimized strategy is required for a long-term solution to cater this increasing supply-demand. © 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.


    Ibrar H Lund, Faheemullah Shaikh, Khanji Harijan, Laveet Kumar, Vishal Dagar. Prospects of natural gas consumption in Pakistan: based on the LMDI-STIRPAT PLSR framework. Environmental science and pollution research international. 2024 Jan;31(2):2090-2103

    Expand section icon Mesh Tags

    Expand section icon Substances

    PMID: 38051491

    View Full Text